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Stock rating · Retail-Variety Stores
Target Corporation (TGT) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 6, 2026, MELANY rates Target Corporation 63 out of 100 (Hold). Its highest factor score is earnings track record at 87, and its lowest is catalyst setup at 45.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-06TGT · composite score
About Target Corporation
Target, founded in 1962, is one of the largest US discount retailers, drawing all of its sales domestically across just under 2,000 stores and generating over $104 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. Its merchandise spans apparel and accessories (16% of fiscal 2025 revenue), beauty and household essentials (30%), food and beverage (24%), hardlines (15%), and home furnishings (15%). Its physical stores fulfill more than 97% of sales.
Rating as of 2026-10-06 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
Why TGT scores 63/100
TGT's 8 factor scores run from 45 to 87, and 3 of them sit above its composite of 63. Here is how TGT breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- P/E 16.0x vs sector 21.5x median
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 26%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 4 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +9%
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How TGT compares
As of October 7, 2026, Target Corporation is tied for 2nd of the 5 companies with a MELANY rating page in its SEC industry group (Retail-Variety Stores), where the average score is 56.
Key risks for TGT
- No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes
Sector and theme context
Target Corporation sits in the Consumer discretionary cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 11/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds TGT's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking TGT
Target Corporation rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Add TGT to a watchlist in the app to follow its rating; an alert the moment it changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.
How MELANY rates TGT
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Target Corporation's 63/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about TGT
Is Target Corporation (TGT) a buy?
As of 2026-10-06, MELANY rated Target Corporation Hold with a composite score of 63/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Target Corporation's MELANY score?
Target Corporation (TGT) has a MELANY composite score of 63/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the TGT stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores TGT from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Target Corporation stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Target Corporation (TGT) Hold with a composite of 63/100 as of 2026-10-06. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the TGT stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for TGT. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 63/100 across eight factors for Target Corporation, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is TGT stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 59/100 for Target Corporation, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives TGT's read.
What price should I buy TGT at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for TGT at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Add TGT to a watchlist in the app to follow it; an alert the moment the rating changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.
What are the risks of buying TGT stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Target Corporation: No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Target Corporation a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 48/100 for Target Corporation, and earnings track record, at 87/100. The 63/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will TGT stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 70/100 for TGT right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this TGT rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-06. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores TGT continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
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