Home / Stock ratings / DLTR
Stock rating · Retail-Variety Stores
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 13, 2026, MELANY rates Dollar Tree Inc. 65 out of 100 (Hold). Its highest factor score is earnings track record at 94, and its lowest is catalyst setup at 40.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-13DLTR · composite score
About Dollar Tree Inc.
Dollar Tree, founded in 1986, operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the US and Canada, with roughly 85% of merchandise priced under $2. It targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2025 it generated over $19 billion in sales through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products, which make up nearly one-third of sales.
Rating as of 2026-10-13 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
Why DLTR scores 65/100
DLTR's 8 factor scores run from 40 to 94, and 2 of them sit above its composite of 65. Here is how DLTR breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- P/E 14.3x vs sector 21.5x median
- PEG ratio 1.19 (< 1 = undervalued)
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 46%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +38%
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How DLTR compares
As of October 13, 2026, Dollar Tree Inc. ranks 1st of the 5 companies with a MELANY rating page in its SEC industry group (Retail-Variety Stores), where the average score is 56.
Key risks for DLTR
- High debt-to-equity ratio 2.2x, rate-sensitive balance sheet
Sector and theme context
Dollar Tree Inc. sits in the Consumer staples (defensive) theme, which MELANY currently rates 18/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds DLTR's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc. rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Add DLTR to a watchlist in the app to follow its rating; an alert the moment it changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.
How MELANY rates DLTR
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Dollar Tree Inc.'s 65/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about DLTR
Is Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) a buy?
As of 2026-10-13, MELANY rated Dollar Tree Inc. Hold with a composite score of 65/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Dollar Tree Inc.'s MELANY score?
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) has a MELANY composite score of 65/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the DLTR stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores DLTR from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Dollar Tree Inc. stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) Hold with a composite of 65/100 as of 2026-10-13. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the DLTR stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for DLTR. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 65/100 across eight factors for Dollar Tree Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is DLTR stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 60/100 for Dollar Tree Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives DLTR's read.
What price should I buy DLTR at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for DLTR at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Add DLTR to a watchlist in the app to follow it; an alert the moment the rating changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.
What are the risks of buying DLTR stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Dollar Tree Inc.: High debt-to-equity ratio 2.2x, rate-sensitive balance sheet. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Dollar Tree Inc. a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 51/100 for Dollar Tree Inc., and earnings track record, at 94/100. The 65/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will DLTR stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 54/100 for DLTR right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this DLTR rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-13. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores DLTR continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
Market Eyes Live
Every rating graded in public, DLTR included
MELANY scores more than 11,000 U.S. stocks and ETFs, PRISM ranks conviction and APEX writes the plan with one entry zone. Free to start on iOS and the web.