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Stock rating · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 6, 2026, MELANY rates Matador Resources Company 75 out of 100 (Highest Conviction). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 96, and its lowest is macro fit at 50.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-06MTDR · composite score
About Matador Resources Company
Matador Resources Co is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources. Most of its assets are in the US, emphasizing oil and natural gas shale and other unconventional plays. Alongside its oil and gas properties, it pursues midstream opportunities that support its exploration and development business. It has two reportable segments: exploration and production, and midstream.
Rating as of 2026-10-06 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
Why MTDR scores 75/100
MTDR's 8 factor scores run from 50 to 96, and 3 of them sit above its composite of 75. Here is how MTDR breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- P/E 9.1x vs sector 10.5x median
- Forward P/E 5.8x, earnings growth accelerating
- PEG ratio 0.62 (< 1 = undervalued)
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- Gross margin 82%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 4 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +13%
- Earnings in 21 days (strong beat history)
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Analyst targets 32% upside
Near-term events that could move the stock.
- Earnings in 21 days
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How MTDR compares
As of October 7, 2026, Matador Resources Company ranks 3rd of the 10 companies with a MELANY rating page in its SEC industry group (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas), where the average score is 73.
Key risks for MTDR
- Negative free cash flow, company consuming cash, not generating it
Sector and theme context
Matador Resources Company sits in the Energy / commodity cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 20/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds MTDR's momentum and catalyst factors above.
MTDR trade plan (Pro)
MELANY has a full position plan for Matador Resources Company: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It is part of Market Eyes Pro, and the first 30 days are free.
How MELANY rates MTDR
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Matador Resources Company's 75/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about MTDR
Is Matador Resources Company (MTDR) a buy?
As of 2026-10-06, MELANY rated Matador Resources Company Highest Conviction with a composite score of 75/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Matador Resources Company's MELANY score?
Matador Resources Company (MTDR) has a MELANY composite score of 75/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the MTDR stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores MTDR from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Matador Resources Company stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Matador Resources Company (MTDR) Highest Conviction with a composite of 75/100 as of 2026-10-06. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the MTDR stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for MTDR. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 75/100 across eight factors for Matador Resources Company, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is MTDR stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 74/100 for Matador Resources Company, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives MTDR's read.
What price should I buy MTDR at?
Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for MTDR: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels are part of Market Eyes Pro, which starts with a 30-day free trial.
What are the risks of buying MTDR stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Matador Resources Company: Negative free cash flow, company consuming cash, not generating it. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Matador Resources Company a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 77/100 for Matador Resources Company, and earnings track record, at 89/100. The 75/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will MTDR stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 53/100 for MTDR right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this MTDR rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-06. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores MTDR continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
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Every rating graded in public, MTDR included
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