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Stock rating · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
APA Corporation (APA) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 13, 2026, MELANY rates APA Corporation 78 out of 100 (Highest Conviction). Its highest factor score is earnings track record at 92, and its lowest is analyst sentiment at 49.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-13APA · composite score
About APA Corporation
APA Corp is an independent exploration and production company that develops and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Its oil and gas operations span four segments, Egypt, the North Sea, Suriname, and the US, with most revenue coming from the US segment. It also holds exploration interests in Uruguay, Alaska, and other international locations.
Rating as of 2026-10-13 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
Why APA scores 78/100
APA's 8 factor scores run from 49 to 92, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 78. Here is how APA breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- FCF yield 12.8%
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- Gross margin 78%
- ROE 27%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- Price +12.0% above 50-day MA
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 4 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +19%
- Earnings in 22 days (strong beat history)
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
Near-term events that could move the stock.
- Earnings in 22 days
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How APA compares
As of October 13, 2026, APA Corporation is tied for 1st of the 10 companies with a MELANY rating page in its SEC industry group (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas), where the average score is 73.
Key risks for APA
- Performance partly driven by Energy / commodity cycle, rotation away from this theme would hurt
- Trading near 52-week high, limited upside without new positive catalyst
Sector and theme context
APA Corporation sits in the Energy / commodity cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 76/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds APA's momentum and catalyst factors above.
APA trade plan (Pro)
MELANY has a full position plan for APA Corporation: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It is part of Market Eyes Pro, and the first 30 days are free.
How MELANY rates APA
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. APA Corporation's 78/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about APA
Is APA Corporation (APA) a buy?
As of 2026-10-13, MELANY rated APA Corporation Highest Conviction with a composite score of 78/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is APA Corporation's MELANY score?
APA Corporation (APA) has a MELANY composite score of 78/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the APA stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores APA from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy APA Corporation stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates APA Corporation (APA) Highest Conviction with a composite of 78/100 as of 2026-10-13. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the APA stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for APA. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 78/100 across eight factors for APA Corporation, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is APA stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 71/100 for APA Corporation, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives APA's read.
What price should I buy APA at?
Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for APA: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels are part of Market Eyes Pro, which starts with a 30-day free trial.
What are the risks of buying APA stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for APA Corporation: Performance partly driven by Energy / commodity cycle, rotation away from this theme would hurt; Trading near 52-week high, limited upside without new positive catalyst. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is APA Corporation a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 88/100 for APA Corporation, and earnings track record, at 92/100. The 78/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will APA stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 81/100 for APA right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this APA rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-13. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores APA continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
Market Eyes Live
Every rating graded in public, APA included
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