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Stock rating · Retail-Eating Places
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 6, 2026, MELANY rates Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 58 out of 100 (Hold). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 89, and its lowest is valuation at 37.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-06CMG · composite score
About Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Chipotle is a fast-casual, Mexican-inspired restaurant chain that generated $11.9 billion in sales across 3,983 company-operated US locations, 104 international units mostly in Canada and Europe, and 14 licensed stores largely in the Middle East as of year-end 2025. Revenue comes mainly from food and beverage sales at its company-owned restaurants, plus delivery fees from its first-party digital channels.
Rating as of 2026-10-06 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
Why CMG scores 58/100
CMG's 8 factor scores run from 37 to 89, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 58. Here is how CMG breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 50%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
- Earnings in 22 days (strong beat history)
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Analyst targets 42% upside
Near-term events that could move the stock.
- Earnings in 22 days
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How CMG compares
As of October 7, 2026, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. ranks 13th of 20 in Consumer Discretionary Stocks, where the average score is 59.
Key risks for CMG
- High debt-to-equity ratio 2.5x, rate-sensitive balance sheet
- Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up
Sector and theme context
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. sits in the Consumer discretionary cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 11/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds CMG's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Add CMG to a watchlist in the app to follow its rating; an alert the moment it changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.
How MELANY rates CMG
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s 58/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about CMG
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) a buy?
As of 2026-10-06, MELANY rated Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Hold with a composite score of 58/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s MELANY score?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) has a MELANY composite score of 58/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the CMG stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores CMG from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Hold with a composite of 58/100 as of 2026-10-06. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the CMG stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for CMG. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 58/100 across eight factors for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is CMG stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 37/100 for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives CMG's read.
What price should I buy CMG at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for CMG at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Add CMG to a watchlist in the app to follow it; an alert the moment the rating changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.
What are the risks of buying CMG stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.: High debt-to-equity ratio 2.5x, rate-sensitive balance sheet; Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 55/100 for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., and earnings track record, at 69/100. The 58/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will CMG stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 39/100 for CMG right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this CMG rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-06. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores CMG continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
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