Market Eyes LiveChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Stock Rating & Analysis
MELANY's data-driven read on Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. · Retail-Eating Places.
Chipotle is a fast-casual, Mexican-inspired restaurant chain that generated $11.9 billion in sales across 3,983 company-operated US locations, 104 international units mostly in Canada and Europe, and 14 licensed stores largely in the Middle East as of year-end 2025. Revenue comes mainly from food and beverage sales at its company-owned restaurants, plus delivery fees from its first-party digital channels.
Why CMG scores 54/100
MELANY scores Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 54/100 by weighing eight factors. Here is how CMG breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 50%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- Price +5.1% above 50-day MA
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
Key risks for CMG
- High debt-to-equity ratio 2.5x, rate-sensitive balance sheet
Sector and theme context
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. sits in the Consumer discretionary cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 21/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds CMG's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Create a free account to add CMG to your watchlist and get alerted the moment the rating changes.
How MELANY rates CMG
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s 54/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about CMG
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) a buy?
As of 2026-08-20, MELANY rated Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Hold with a composite score of 54/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.'s MELANY score?
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) has a MELANY composite score of 54/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, and macro fit.
How is the CMG stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores CMG from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) Hold with a composite of 54/100 as of 2026-08-20. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the CMG stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for CMG. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 54/100 across eight factors for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is CMG stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 30/100 for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive against earnings, growth, and peers. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives CMG's read.
What price should I buy CMG at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for CMG at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Watchlisting CMG in the free app gets you alerted the moment that changes.
What are the risks of buying CMG stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.: High debt-to-equity ratio 2.5x, rate-sensitive balance sheet. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 55/100 for Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., and earnings track record, at 67/100. The 54/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will CMG stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 53/100 for CMG right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this CMG rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-08-20. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores CMG continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and that current rating is free in the app.
CMG's live rating and alerts are free either way. The app is our flagship.