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Stock rating · Petroleum Refining
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 6, 2026, MELANY rates Valero Energy Corporation 70 out of 100 (Highest Conviction). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 97, and its lowest is valuation at 48.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-06VLO · composite score
About Valero Energy Corporation
Valero Energy is among the largest independent refiners in the US, operating 15 refineries with total throughput capacity of 3.2 million barrels per day across the US, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It also owns 12 ethanol plants with capacity of 1.6 billion gallons per year and holds a 50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel, which can produce 1.2 billion gallons per year of renewable diesel.
Rating as of 2026-10-06 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
How VLO's rating has moved
- +1Past week, since Sep 29: score rose 1 point to 70.
Weekly points: Sep 29: 69 · Oct 6: 70 (this page).
From MELANY's own dated rating record. A tier change is reported as a move between named tiers; the score carries the direction.
Why VLO scores 70/100
VLO's 8 factor scores run from 48 to 97, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 70. Here is how VLO breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- Forward P/E 10.1x, earnings growth accelerating
- FCF yield 7.0%
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 29%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- Price +16.5% above 50-day MA
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 4 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +22%
- Earnings in 16 days (strong beat history)
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Institutional net buying +3.8%
Near-term events that could move the stock.
- Earnings in 16 days
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How VLO compares
As of October 7, 2026, Valero Energy Corporation is tied for 4th of 16 in Energy Stocks, where the average score is 66.
Key risks for VLO
- Trading near 52-week high, limited upside without new positive catalyst
Sector and theme context
Valero Energy Corporation sits in the Energy / commodity cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 20/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds VLO's momentum and catalyst factors above.
VLO trade plan (Pro)
MELANY has a full position plan for Valero Energy Corporation: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It is part of Market Eyes Pro, and the first 30 days are free.
How MELANY rates VLO
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Valero Energy Corporation's 70/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about VLO
Is Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) a buy?
As of 2026-10-06, MELANY rated Valero Energy Corporation Highest Conviction with a composite score of 70/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Valero Energy Corporation's MELANY score?
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) has a MELANY composite score of 70/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the VLO stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores VLO from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Valero Energy Corporation stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Highest Conviction with a composite of 70/100 as of 2026-10-06. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the VLO stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for VLO. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 70/100 across eight factors for Valero Energy Corporation, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is VLO stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 48/100 for Valero Energy Corporation, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives VLO's read.
What price should I buy VLO at?
Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for VLO: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels are part of Market Eyes Pro, which starts with a 30-day free trial.
What are the risks of buying VLO stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Valero Energy Corporation: Trading near 52-week high, limited upside without new positive catalyst. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Valero Energy Corporation a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 55/100 for Valero Energy Corporation, and earnings track record, at 92/100. The 70/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will VLO stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 84/100 for VLO right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this VLO rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-06. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores VLO continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
Market Eyes Live
Every rating graded in public, VLO included
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