Market Eyes LiveValero Energy Corporation (VLO) Stock Rating & Analysis
MELANY's data-driven read on Valero Energy Corporation · Petroleum Refining.
Valero Energy is among the largest independent refiners in the US, operating 15 refineries with total throughput capacity of 3.2 million barrels per day across the US, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It also owns 12 ethanol plants with capacity of 1.6 billion gallons per year and holds a 50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel, which can produce 1.2 billion gallons per year of renewable diesel.
Why VLO scores 65/100
MELANY scores Valero Energy Corporation 65/100 by weighing eight factors. Here is how VLO breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- FCF yield 8.5%
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 29%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- Price +19.0% above 50-day MA
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 4 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +22%
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Institutional net buying +3.7%
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
Key risks for VLO
- Trading near 52-week high, limited upside without new positive catalyst
Sector and theme context
Valero Energy Corporation sits in the Energy / commodity cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 62/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds VLO's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking VLO
Valero Energy Corporation rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Create a free account to add VLO to your watchlist and get alerted the moment the rating changes.
How MELANY rates VLO
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Valero Energy Corporation's 65/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about VLO
Is Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) a buy?
As of 2026-08-19, MELANY rated Valero Energy Corporation Hold with a composite score of 65/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Valero Energy Corporation's MELANY score?
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) has a MELANY composite score of 65/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, and macro fit.
How is the VLO stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores VLO from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Valero Energy Corporation stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) Hold with a composite of 65/100 as of 2026-08-19. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the VLO stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for VLO. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 65/100 across eight factors for Valero Energy Corporation, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is VLO stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 47/100 for Valero Energy Corporation, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive against earnings, growth, and peers. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives VLO's read.
What price should I buy VLO at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for VLO at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Watchlisting VLO in the free app gets you alerted the moment that changes.
What are the risks of buying VLO stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Valero Energy Corporation: Trading near 52-week high, limited upside without new positive catalyst. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Valero Energy Corporation a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 55/100 for Valero Energy Corporation, and earnings track record, at 100/100. The 65/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will VLO stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 84/100 for VLO right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this VLO rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-08-19. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores VLO continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and that current rating is free in the app.
VLO's live rating and alerts are free either way. The app is our flagship.