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Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) Stock Rating & Analysis

MELANY's data-driven read on Deckers Outdoor Corp · Rubber & Plastics Footwear.

68/100
Highest Conviction
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Live price

Deckers, founded in 1973 and based in California, designs and sells casual and performance footwear, apparel, and accessories. In fiscal 2026, Ugg and Hoka accounted for 50% and 47% of total sales, respectively, and the firm also markets the niche sandal brand Teva. Most sales come through wholesale partnerships, but it also runs e-commerce in more than 50 countries and operates more than 200 company-operated stores, about half of them outlets. The US generated 58% of fiscal 2026 sales.

Rating as of 2026-08-24 · this is a dated snapshot, and the live rating is free in the app. Price above updates in real time.

Why DECK scores 68/100

MELANY scores Deckers Outdoor Corp 68/100 by weighing eight factors. Here is how DECK breaks down.

Valuation69/100

Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.

  • P/E 12.9x vs sector 21.0x median
  • PEG ratio 1.12 (< 1 = undervalued)
  • FCF yield 7.0%
Business quality81/100

Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.

  • Gross margin 58%
  • ROE 43%
Price momentum39/100

Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.

Earnings track record95/100

History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.

  • Beat EPS estimates 4 of last 4 quarters
  • Avg EPS beat +13%
Analyst sentiment84/100

What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.

  • Analyst targets 35% upside
  • Institutional net buying +13.7%
Catalyst setup37/100

Near-term events that could move the stock.

Risk-adjusted profile65/100

Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.

Macro fit50/100

How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.

Key risks for DECK

Sector and theme context

Deckers Outdoor Corp sits in the Consumer discretionary cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 24/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds DECK's momentum and catalyst factors above.

DECK trade plan (members only)

MELANY has a full position plan for Deckers Outdoor Corp: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It unlocks free when you create an account.

Entry zoneLocked
Alert levelLocked
Position sizingLocked
Review triggersLocked

How MELANY rates DECK

MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Deckers Outdoor Corp's 68/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.

Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.

Frequently asked questions about DECK

Is Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) a buy?

As of 2026-08-24, MELANY rated Deckers Outdoor Corp Highest Conviction with a composite score of 68/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.

What is Deckers Outdoor Corp's MELANY score?

Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) has a MELANY composite score of 68/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, and macro fit.

How is the DECK stock rating calculated?

MELANY scores DECK from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.

Should I buy Deckers Outdoor Corp stock?

That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) Highest Conviction with a composite of 68/100 as of 2026-08-24. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.

What is the DECK stock price forecast?

MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for DECK. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 68/100 across eight factors for Deckers Outdoor Corp, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.

Is DECK stock overvalued or undervalued?

MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 69/100 for Deckers Outdoor Corp, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive against earnings, growth, and peers. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives DECK's read.

What price should I buy DECK at?

Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for DECK: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels unlock free when you create a Market Eyes Live account.

What are the risks of buying DECK stock?

The top risks MELANY currently flags for Deckers Outdoor Corp: Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.

Is Deckers Outdoor Corp a good long-term investment?

For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 81/100 for Deckers Outdoor Corp, and earnings track record, at 95/100. The 68/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.

Will DECK stock go up?

Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 39/100 for DECK right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.

How current is this DECK rating?

The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-08-24. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores DECK continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and that current rating is free in the app.

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DECK's entry zone, live alerts, and full trade plan are free either way. The app is our flagship.