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Stock rating · Refuse Systems

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Stock Rating & Analysis

As of September 29, 2026, MELANY rates Waste Connections, Inc. 61 out of 100 (Hold). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 91, and its lowest is valuation at 42.

MELANY ratingRated 2026-09-29

WCN · composite score

61/100
Hold
···
Live price
Quality53
Momentum48
Risk-adjusted75
Source basis SEC filings and live market dataDated snapshot

About Waste Connections, Inc.

Waste Connections is a North American waste management company focused on integrated waste collection for residential, commercial, municipal, and industrial customers, with a secondary focus on rural markets. With 113 landfills and 222 transfer stations as of 2024, it is the third-largest waste management company by revenue. Its revenue is split across six operating segments: Western, Southern, Eastern, Central, Canada, and Midsouth.

Rating as of 2026-09-29 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.

Why WCN scores 61/100

WCN's 8 factor scores run from 42 to 91, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 61. Here is how WCN breaks down.

Valuation42/100

Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.

  • Forward P/E 25.1x, earnings growth accelerating
Business quality53/100

Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.

  • Gross margin 42%
Price momentum48/100

Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.

Earnings track record73/100

History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.

  • Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
  • Earnings in 21 days (strong beat history)
Analyst sentiment78/100

What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.

  • Analyst targets 30% upside
Catalyst setup91/100

Near-term events that could move the stock.

  • Earnings in 21 days
Risk-adjusted profile75/100

Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.

Macro fit50/100

How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.

How WCN compares

As of October 13, 2026, Waste Connections, Inc. is tied for 1st of the 3 companies with a MELANY rating page in its SEC industry group (Refuse Systems), where the average score is 58.

1 RSGRepublic Services Inc. Hold 61
1 WCNWaste Connections, Inc. · this page Hold 61
3 WMWaste Management, Inc. Hold 52

All stock rating pages.

Key risks for WCN

  • No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes

Sector and theme context

Waste Connections, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector theme, which MELANY currently rates 13/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds WCN's momentum and catalyst factors above.

Tracking WCN

Waste Connections, Inc. rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Add WCN to a watchlist in the app to follow its rating; an alert the moment it changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.

How MELANY rates WCN

MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Waste Connections, Inc.'s 61/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.

Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.

Frequently asked questions about WCN

Is Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) a buy?

As of 2026-09-29, MELANY rated Waste Connections, Inc. Hold with a composite score of 61/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.

What is Waste Connections, Inc.'s MELANY score?

Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) has a MELANY composite score of 61/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.

How is the WCN stock rating calculated?

MELANY scores WCN from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.

Should I buy Waste Connections, Inc. stock?

That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Waste Connections, Inc. (WCN) Hold with a composite of 61/100 as of 2026-09-29. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.

What is the WCN stock price forecast?

MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for WCN. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 61/100 across eight factors for Waste Connections, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.

Is WCN stock overvalued or undervalued?

MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 42/100 for Waste Connections, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives WCN's read.

What price should I buy WCN at?

MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for WCN at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Add WCN to a watchlist in the app to follow it; an alert the moment the rating changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.

What are the risks of buying WCN stock?

The top risks MELANY currently flags for Waste Connections, Inc.: No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.

Is Waste Connections, Inc. a good long-term investment?

For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 53/100 for Waste Connections, Inc., and earnings track record, at 73/100. The 61/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.

Will WCN stock go up?

Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 48/100 for WCN right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.

How current is this WCN rating?

The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-09-29. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores WCN continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).

How this rating works

Market Eyes Live

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