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Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 7, 2026, MELANY rates Vistra Corp. 51 out of 100 (Catalyst Watch). Its highest factor score is analyst sentiment at 79, and its lowest is earnings track record at 32.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-07VST · composite score
About Vistra Corp.
Vistra Corp. is one of the largest US power producers and retail energy providers, owning 44 gigawatts of generation across natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.3 GW); the Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Its retail business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of Texas electricity consumers. It emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy in 2016.
Rating as of 2026-10-07 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
How VST's rating has moved
- +3Past week, since Sep 30: score rose 3 points to 51.
- +3Past four weeks, since Sep 9: score rose 3 points to 51.
Weekly points: Sep 9: 48 · Sep 16: 46 · Sep 23: 47 · Sep 30: 48 · Oct 7: 51 (this page).
From MELANY's own dated rating record. A tier change is reported as a move between named tiers; the score carries the direction.
Why VST scores 51/100
VST's 8 factor scores run from 32 to 79, and 3 of them sit above its composite of 51. Here is how VST breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- Forward P/E 15.4x, earnings growth accelerating
- PEG ratio 0.36 (< 1 = undervalued)
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 43%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- Price +12.2% above 50-day MA
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Analyst targets 31% upside
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How VST compares
As of October 7, 2026, Vistra Corp. is tied for 15th of 20 in Nuclear Energy Stocks, where the average score is 55.
Also ranked in Uranium Stocks, AI Data Center and Power Stocks. All stock rating pages.
Key risks for VST
- High debt-to-equity ratio 3.7x, rate-sensitive balance sheet
Sector and theme context
Vistra Corp. sits in the Nuclear / SMR buildout theme, which MELANY currently rates 9/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds VST's momentum and catalyst factors above.
VST trade plan (Pro)
MELANY has a full position plan for Vistra Corp.: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It is part of Market Eyes Pro, and the first 30 days are free.
How MELANY rates VST
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Vistra Corp.'s 51/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Single-event catalyst trade: small size, short fuse, tight stop..
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about VST
Is Vistra Corp. (VST) a buy?
As of 2026-10-07, MELANY rated Vistra Corp. Catalyst Watch with a composite score of 51/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Vistra Corp.'s MELANY score?
Vistra Corp. (VST) has a MELANY composite score of 51/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the VST stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores VST from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Vistra Corp. stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Vistra Corp. (VST) Catalyst Watch with a composite of 51/100 as of 2026-10-07. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the VST stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for VST. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 51/100 across eight factors for Vistra Corp., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is VST stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 50/100 for Vistra Corp., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives VST's read.
What price should I buy VST at?
Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for VST: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels are part of Market Eyes Pro, which starts with a 30-day free trial.
What are the risks of buying VST stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Vistra Corp.: High debt-to-equity ratio 3.7x, rate-sensitive balance sheet. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Vistra Corp. a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 50/100 for Vistra Corp., and earnings track record, at 32/100. The 51/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will VST stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 57/100 for VST right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this VST rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-07. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores VST continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
Market Eyes Live
Every rating graded in public, VST included
MELANY scores more than 11,000 U.S. stocks and ETFs, PRISM ranks conviction and APEX writes the plan with one entry zone. Free to start on iOS and the web.