Market Eyes LiveVistra Corp. (VST) Stock Rating & Analysis
MELANY's data-driven read on Vistra Corp. · Electric Services.
Vistra Corp. is one of the largest US power producers and retail energy providers, owning 44 gigawatts of generation across natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.3 GW); the Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Its retail business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of Texas electricity consumers. It emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy in 2016.
Why VST scores 46/100
MELANY scores Vistra Corp. 46/100 by weighing eight factors. Here is how VST breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- Forward P/E 13.4x, earnings growth accelerating
- PEG ratio 0.41 (< 1 = undervalued)
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 43%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Analyst targets 60% upside
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
Key risks for VST
- High debt-to-equity ratio 3.7x, rate-sensitive balance sheet
- Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up
Sector and theme context
Vistra Corp. sits in the Nuclear / SMR buildout theme, which MELANY currently rates 12/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds VST's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking VST
Vistra Corp. rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Create a free account to add VST to your watchlist and get alerted the moment the rating changes.
How MELANY rates VST
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Vistra Corp.'s 46/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about VST
Is Vistra Corp. (VST) a buy?
As of 2026-08-21, MELANY rated Vistra Corp. Hold with a composite score of 46/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Vistra Corp.'s MELANY score?
Vistra Corp. (VST) has a MELANY composite score of 46/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, and macro fit.
How is the VST stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores VST from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Vistra Corp. stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Vistra Corp. (VST) Hold with a composite of 46/100 as of 2026-08-21. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the VST stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for VST. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 46/100 across eight factors for Vistra Corp., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is VST stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 53/100 for Vistra Corp., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive against earnings, growth, and peers. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives VST's read.
What price should I buy VST at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for VST at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Watchlisting VST in the free app gets you alerted the moment that changes.
What are the risks of buying VST stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Vistra Corp.: High debt-to-equity ratio 3.7x, rate-sensitive balance sheet; Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Vistra Corp. a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 50/100 for Vistra Corp., and earnings track record, at 39/100. The 46/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will VST stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 29/100 for VST right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this VST rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-08-21. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores VST continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and that current rating is free in the app.
VST's live rating and alerts are free either way. The app is our flagship.