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Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Stock Rating & Analysis

As of October 6, 2026, MELANY rates Constellation Brands, Inc. 71 out of 100 (Highest Conviction). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 100, and its lowest is price momentum at 21.

MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-06

STZ · composite score

71/100
Highest Conviction
···
Live price
Quality73
Momentum21
Risk-adjusted75
Source basis SEC filings and live market dataDated snapshot

Why STZ scores 71/100

STZ's 8 factor scores run from 21 to 100, and 6 of them sit above its composite of 71. Here is how STZ breaks down.

Valuation79/100

Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.

  • P/E 11.0x vs sector 21.5x median
  • FCF yield 11.2%
Business quality73/100

Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.

  • Gross margin 52%
  • ROE 24%
Price momentum21/100

Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.

Earnings track record82/100

History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.

  • Beat EPS estimates 4 of last 4 quarters
  • Avg EPS beat +8%
  • Earnings in 0 days (strong beat history)
Analyst sentiment75/100

What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.

  • Analyst targets 40% upside
Catalyst setup100/100

Near-term events that could move the stock.

  • Earnings in 0 days
Risk-adjusted profile75/100

Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.

Macro fit50/100

How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.

How STZ compares

As of October 7, 2026, Constellation Brands, Inc. ranks 1st of 18 in Consumer Staples Stocks, where the average score is 60.

All stock rating pages.

Key risks for STZ

  • Earnings report in 0 days, binary outcome can move 10%+ either way
  • Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up

Sector and theme context

Constellation Brands, Inc. sits in the Consumer staples (defensive) theme, which MELANY currently rates 3/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds STZ's momentum and catalyst factors above.

STZ trade plan (Pro)

MELANY has a full position plan for Constellation Brands, Inc.: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It is part of Market Eyes Pro, and the first 30 days are free.

Entry zoneLocked
Alert levelLocked
Position sizingLocked
Review triggersLocked

How MELANY rates STZ

MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Constellation Brands, Inc.'s 71/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.

Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.

Frequently asked questions about STZ

Is Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) a buy?

As of 2026-10-06, MELANY rated Constellation Brands, Inc. Highest Conviction with a composite score of 71/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.

What is Constellation Brands, Inc.'s MELANY score?

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) has a MELANY composite score of 71/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.

How is the STZ stock rating calculated?

MELANY scores STZ from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.

Should I buy Constellation Brands, Inc. stock?

That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Highest Conviction with a composite of 71/100 as of 2026-10-06. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.

What is the STZ stock price forecast?

MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for STZ. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 71/100 across eight factors for Constellation Brands, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.

Is STZ stock overvalued or undervalued?

MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 79/100 for Constellation Brands, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives STZ's read.

What price should I buy STZ at?

Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for STZ: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels are part of Market Eyes Pro, which starts with a 30-day free trial.

What are the risks of buying STZ stock?

The top risks MELANY currently flags for Constellation Brands, Inc.: Earnings report in 0 days, binary outcome can move 10%+ either way; Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.

Is Constellation Brands, Inc. a good long-term investment?

For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 73/100 for Constellation Brands, Inc., and earnings track record, at 82/100. The 71/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.

Will STZ stock go up?

Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 21/100 for STZ right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.

How current is this STZ rating?

The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-06. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores STZ continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).

How this rating works

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Every rating graded in public, STZ included

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