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Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 7, 2026, MELANY rates Super Micro Computer, Inc. 69 out of 100 (Highest Conviction). Its highest factor score is price momentum at 89, and its lowest is risk-adjusted profile at 25.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-07SMCI · composite score
About Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Super Micro Computer Inc provides high-performance server technology services to the cloud computing, data center, high-performance computing, and IoT embedded markets. Its solutions include servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, workstations, full-rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, and server management, offered as turn-key solutions designed, developed, validated, and installed for AI data centers.
Rating as of 2026-10-07 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
How SMCI's rating has moved
- -1Past week, since Sep 30: score fell 1 point to 69.
- +3Past four weeks, since Sep 9: score rose 3 points to 69.
Weekly points: Sep 9: 66 · Sep 16: 68 · Sep 23: 69 · Sep 30: 70 · Oct 7: 69 (this page).
From MELANY's own dated rating record. A tier change is reported as a move between named tiers; the score carries the direction.
Why SMCI scores 69/100
SMCI's 8 factor scores run from 25 to 89, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 69. Here is how SMCI breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- P/E 13.3x vs sector 28.0x median
- Forward P/E 8.2x, earnings growth accelerating
- PEG ratio 0.91 (< 1 = undervalued)
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 21%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- Price +17.3% above 50-day MA
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +33%
- Earnings in 28 days (strong beat history)
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Institutional net buying +14.8%
Near-term events that could move the stock.
- Earnings in 28 days
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How SMCI compares
As of October 7, 2026, Super Micro Computer, Inc. ranks 4th of 20 in AI Data Center and Power Stocks, where the average score is 62.
Also ranked in Memory and Storage Stocks. All stock rating pages.
Key risks for SMCI
- Negative free cash flow, company consuming cash, not generating it
- Short interest 16% of float, high volatility risk on news
- High beta 2.0, amplifies market drawdowns 1.8x+ in selloffs
- Performance partly driven by AI infrastructure (semis), rotation away from this theme would hurt
Sector and theme context
Super Micro Computer, Inc. sits in the AI infrastructure (semis) theme, which MELANY currently rates 95/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds SMCI's momentum and catalyst factors above.
SMCI trade plan (Pro)
MELANY has a full position plan for Super Micro Computer, Inc.: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It is part of Market Eyes Pro, and the first 30 days are free.
How MELANY rates SMCI
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s 69/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about SMCI
Is Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) a buy?
As of 2026-10-07, MELANY rated Super Micro Computer, Inc. Highest Conviction with a composite score of 69/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s MELANY score?
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has a MELANY composite score of 69/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the SMCI stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores SMCI from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Super Micro Computer, Inc. stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Highest Conviction with a composite of 69/100 as of 2026-10-07. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the SMCI stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for SMCI. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 69/100 across eight factors for Super Micro Computer, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is SMCI stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 74/100 for Super Micro Computer, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives SMCI's read.
What price should I buy SMCI at?
Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for SMCI: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels are part of Market Eyes Pro, which starts with a 30-day free trial.
What are the risks of buying SMCI stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Super Micro Computer, Inc.: Negative free cash flow, company consuming cash, not generating it; Short interest 16% of float, high volatility risk on news; High beta 2.0, amplifies market drawdowns 1.8x+ in selloffs; Performance partly driven by AI infrastructure (semis), rotation away from this theme would hurt. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Super Micro Computer, Inc. a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 47/100 for Super Micro Computer, Inc., and earnings track record, at 88/100. The 69/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will SMCI stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 89/100 for SMCI right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this SMCI rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-07. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores SMCI continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
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Every rating graded in public, SMCI included
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