Market Eyes LiveSuper Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Stock Rating & Analysis
MELANY's data-driven read on Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Electronic Computers.
Super Micro Computer Inc provides high-performance server technology services to the cloud computing, data center, high-performance computing, and IoT embedded markets. Its solutions include servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, workstations, full-rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, and server management, offered as turn-key solutions designed, developed, validated, and installed for AI data centers.
Why SMCI scores 64/100
MELANY scores Super Micro Computer, Inc. 64/100 by weighing eight factors. Here is how SMCI breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- P/E 11.2x vs sector 28.0x median
- Forward P/E 6.9x, earnings growth accelerating
- PEG ratio 0.91 (< 1 = undervalued)
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- ROE 21%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- Price +20.4% above 50-day MA
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +33%
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Institutional net buying +15.3%
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
Key risks for SMCI
- Negative free cash flow, company consuming cash, not generating it
- Short interest 18% of float, high volatility risk on news
- High beta 2.0, amplifies market drawdowns 1.8x+ in selloffs
- Performance partly driven by AI infrastructure (semis), rotation away from this theme would hurt
Sector and theme context
Super Micro Computer, Inc. sits in the AI infrastructure (semis) theme, which MELANY currently rates 85/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds SMCI's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc. rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Create a free account to add SMCI to your watchlist and get alerted the moment the rating changes.
How MELANY rates SMCI
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s 64/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about SMCI
Is Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) a buy?
As of 2026-08-21, MELANY rated Super Micro Computer, Inc. Hold with a composite score of 64/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s MELANY score?
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has a MELANY composite score of 64/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, and macro fit.
How is the SMCI stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores SMCI from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Super Micro Computer, Inc. stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Hold with a composite of 64/100 as of 2026-08-21. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the SMCI stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for SMCI. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 64/100 across eight factors for Super Micro Computer, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is SMCI stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 77/100 for Super Micro Computer, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive against earnings, growth, and peers. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives SMCI's read.
What price should I buy SMCI at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for SMCI at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Watchlisting SMCI in the free app gets you alerted the moment that changes.
What are the risks of buying SMCI stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Super Micro Computer, Inc.: Negative free cash flow, company consuming cash, not generating it; Short interest 18% of float, high volatility risk on news; High beta 2.0, amplifies market drawdowns 1.8x+ in selloffs; Performance partly driven by AI infrastructure (semis), rotation away from this theme would hurt. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Super Micro Computer, Inc. a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 47/100 for Super Micro Computer, Inc., and earnings track record, at 94/100. The 64/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will SMCI stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 68/100 for SMCI right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this SMCI rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-08-21. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores SMCI continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and that current rating is free in the app.
SMCI's live rating and alerts are free either way. The app is our flagship.