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Stock rating · Paperboard Containers & Boxes
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of September 25, 2026, MELANY rates Packaging Corp of America 61 out of 100 (Hold). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 92, and its lowest is business quality at 44.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-09-25PKG · composite score
About Packaging Corp of America
Packaging Corp. of America is the third-largest containerboard and corrugated packaging manufacturer in the United States, producing over 5 million tons of containerboard annually and holding roughly 10% of the domestic containerboard market. It differentiates itself from larger competitors by focusing on smaller customers and operating with a high degree of flexibility.
Rating as of 2026-09-25 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
Why PKG scores 61/100
PKG's 8 factor scores run from 44 to 92, and 3 of them sit above its composite of 61. Here is how PKG breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- Forward P/E 18.1x, earnings growth accelerating
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Earnings in 26 days (strong beat history)
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
Near-term events that could move the stock.
- Earnings in 26 days
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How PKG compares
As of September 25, 2026, Packaging Corp of America ranks 2nd of the 3 companies with a MELANY rating page in its SEC industry group (Paperboard Containers & Boxes), where the average score is 62.
Key risks for PKG
- No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes
Sector and theme context
Packaging Corp of America sits in the Consumer discretionary cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 8/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds PKG's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking PKG
Packaging Corp of America rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Add PKG to a watchlist in the app to follow its rating; an alert the moment it changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.
How MELANY rates PKG
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Packaging Corp of America's 61/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about PKG
Is Packaging Corp of America (PKG) a buy?
As of 2026-09-25, MELANY rated Packaging Corp of America Hold with a composite score of 61/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Packaging Corp of America's MELANY score?
Packaging Corp of America (PKG) has a MELANY composite score of 61/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the PKG stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores PKG from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Packaging Corp of America stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Packaging Corp of America (PKG) Hold with a composite of 61/100 as of 2026-09-25. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the PKG stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for PKG. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 61/100 across eight factors for Packaging Corp of America, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is PKG stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 52/100 for Packaging Corp of America, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives PKG's read.
What price should I buy PKG at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for PKG at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Add PKG to a watchlist in the app to follow it; an alert the moment the rating changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.
What are the risks of buying PKG stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Packaging Corp of America: No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Packaging Corp of America a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 44/100 for Packaging Corp of America, and earnings track record, at 65/100. The 61/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will PKG stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 59/100 for PKG right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this PKG rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-09-25. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores PKG continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
Market Eyes Live
Every rating graded in public, PKG included
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