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Match Group, Inc (MTCH) Stock Rating & Analysis
As of October 6, 2026, MELANY rates Match Group, Inc 75 out of 100 (Highest Conviction). Its highest factor score is business quality at 92, and its lowest is risk-adjusted profile at 45.
MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-06MTCH · composite score
About Match Group, Inc
Match Group Inc provides online dating products, with a portfolio of brands including Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, BLK, and others, each built to improve users' chances of connecting with others. It has four operating segments, Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia, and generates most of its revenue from the Tinder segment.
Rating as of 2026-10-06 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.
Why MTCH scores 75/100
MTCH's 8 factor scores run from 45 to 92, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 75. Here is how MTCH breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- P/E 14.4x vs sector 20.0x median
- Forward P/E 8.9x, earnings growth accelerating
- PEG ratio 0.34 (< 1 = undervalued)
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
- Gross margin 74%
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +7%
- Earnings in 28 days (strong beat history)
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
Near-term events that could move the stock.
- Earnings in 28 days
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
How MTCH compares
As of October 7, 2026, Match Group, Inc ranks 1st of 16 in Communication Services Stocks, where the average score is 63.
Key risks for MTCH
- No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes
Sector and theme context
Match Group, Inc sits in the Communication services theme, which MELANY currently rates 4/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds MTCH's momentum and catalyst factors above.
MTCH trade plan (Pro)
MELANY has a full position plan for Match Group, Inc: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It is part of Market Eyes Pro, and the first 30 days are free.
How MELANY rates MTCH
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Match Group, Inc's 75/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about MTCH
Is Match Group, Inc (MTCH) a buy?
As of 2026-10-06, MELANY rated Match Group, Inc Highest Conviction with a composite score of 75/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Match Group, Inc's MELANY score?
Match Group, Inc (MTCH) has a MELANY composite score of 75/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.
How is the MTCH stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores MTCH from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Match Group, Inc stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Match Group, Inc (MTCH) Highest Conviction with a composite of 75/100 as of 2026-10-06. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the MTCH stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for MTCH. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 75/100 across eight factors for Match Group, Inc, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is MTCH stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 81/100 for Match Group, Inc, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives MTCH's read.
What price should I buy MTCH at?
Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for MTCH: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels are part of Market Eyes Pro, which starts with a 30-day free trial.
What are the risks of buying MTCH stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Match Group, Inc: No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Match Group, Inc a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 92/100 for Match Group, Inc, and earnings track record, at 76/100. The 75/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will MTCH stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 68/100 for MTCH right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this MTCH rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-06. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores MTCH continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).
How this rating works
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Every rating graded in public, MTCH included
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