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Stock rating · Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply

Fastenal Co (FAST) Stock Rating & Analysis

As of October 12, 2026, MELANY rates Fastenal Co 59 out of 100 (Hold). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 100, and its lowest is valuation at 13.

MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-12

FAST · composite score

59/100
Hold
···
Live price
Quality77
Momentum67
Risk-adjusted75
Source basis SEC filings and live market dataDated snapshot

About Fastenal Co

Fastenal began as an industrial retailer and expanded from nuts and bolts into cutting tools, safety equipment, and janitorial supplies, transitioning into a distributor by building a dense network of branches near its business customers. When a customer grows large enough, Fastenal installs vending machines and its own personnel on-site, and these on-site locations now exceed its branch count and remain the firm's main focus for expansion.

Rating as of 2026-10-12 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.

Why FAST scores 59/100

FAST's 8 factor scores run from 13 to 100, and 5 of them sit above its composite of 59. Here is how FAST breaks down.

Valuation13/100

Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.

Business quality77/100

Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.

  • Gross margin 45%
  • ROE 34%
Price momentum67/100

Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.

  • 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
Earnings track record68/100

History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.

  • Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
  • Earnings in 2 days (strong beat history)
Analyst sentiment52/100

What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.

Catalyst setup100/100

Near-term events that could move the stock.

  • Earnings in 2 days
Risk-adjusted profile75/100

Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.

Macro fit50/100

How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.

How FAST compares

As of October 13, 2026, Fastenal Co is tied for 1st of the 2 companies with a MELANY rating page in its SEC industry group (Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply), where the average score is 59.

1 FASTFastenal Co · this page Hold 59
1 SHWThe Sherwin-Williams Company Hold 59

All stock rating pages.

Key risks for FAST

  • Earnings report in 2 days, binary outcome can move 10%+ either way
  • Trading near 52-week high, limited upside without new positive catalyst

Sector and theme context

Fastenal Co sits in the Industrials sector theme, which MELANY currently rates 7/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds FAST's momentum and catalyst factors above.

Tracking FAST

Fastenal Co rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Add FAST to a watchlist in the app to follow its rating; an alert the moment it changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.

How MELANY rates FAST

MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Fastenal Co's 59/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.

Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.

Frequently asked questions about FAST

Is Fastenal Co (FAST) a buy?

As of 2026-10-12, MELANY rated Fastenal Co Hold with a composite score of 59/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.

What is Fastenal Co's MELANY score?

Fastenal Co (FAST) has a MELANY composite score of 59/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.

How is the FAST stock rating calculated?

MELANY scores FAST from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.

Should I buy Fastenal Co stock?

That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Fastenal Co (FAST) Hold with a composite of 59/100 as of 2026-10-12. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.

What is the FAST stock price forecast?

MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for FAST. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 59/100 across eight factors for Fastenal Co, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.

Is FAST stock overvalued or undervalued?

MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 13/100 for Fastenal Co, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives FAST's read.

What price should I buy FAST at?

MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for FAST at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Add FAST to a watchlist in the app to follow it; an alert the moment the rating changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.

What are the risks of buying FAST stock?

The top risks MELANY currently flags for Fastenal Co: Earnings report in 2 days, binary outcome can move 10%+ either way; Trading near 52-week high, limited upside without new positive catalyst. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.

Is Fastenal Co a good long-term investment?

For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 77/100 for Fastenal Co, and earnings track record, at 68/100. The 59/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.

Will FAST stock go up?

Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 67/100 for FAST right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.

How current is this FAST rating?

The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-12. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores FAST continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).

How this rating works

Market Eyes Live

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