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AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Stock Rating & Analysis

As of October 6, 2026, MELANY rates AeroVironment, Inc. 44 out of 100 (Hold). Its highest factor score is earnings track record at 88, and its lowest is price momentum at 13.

MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-06

AVAV · composite score

44/100
Hold
···
Live price
Quality33
Momentum13
Risk-adjusted45
Source basis SEC filings and live market dataDated snapshot

About AeroVironment, Inc.

AeroVironment Inc supplies unmanned aircraft systems, tactical missile systems, high-altitude pseudo-satellites, and related services to US Department of Defense agencies and allied international governments. Its systems support security, surveillance, and sensing without requiring a person on board. The company is a defense technology provider delivering integrated capabilities across air, land, sea, space, and cyber.

Rating as of 2026-10-06 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.

Why AVAV scores 44/100

AVAV's 8 factor scores run from 13 to 88, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 44. Here is how AVAV breaks down.

Valuation43/100

Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.

Business quality33/100

Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.

Price momentum13/100

Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.

Earnings track record88/100

History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.

  • Avg EPS beat +26%
Analyst sentiment71/100

What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.

  • Analyst targets 51% upside
Catalyst setup41/100

Near-term events that could move the stock.

Risk-adjusted profile45/100

Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.

Macro fit50/100

How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.

How AVAV compares

As of October 7, 2026, AeroVironment, Inc. ranks 19th of 20 in Defense Stocks, where the average score is 59.

Also ranked in Robotics and Automation Stocks, Space and Satellite Stocks. All stock rating pages.

Key risks for AVAV

  • Negative free cash flow, company consuming cash, not generating it
  • Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up
  • No positive trailing earnings, valuation cannot be anchored to current P/E

Sector and theme context

AeroVironment, Inc. sits in the Defense / aerospace theme, which MELANY currently rates 4/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds AVAV's momentum and catalyst factors above.

Tracking AVAV

AeroVironment, Inc. rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Add AVAV to a watchlist in the app to follow its rating; an alert the moment it changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.

How MELANY rates AVAV

MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. AeroVironment, Inc.'s 44/100 reflects speculative factor weighting for its profile.

Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.

Frequently asked questions about AVAV

Is AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) a buy?

As of 2026-10-06, MELANY rated AeroVironment, Inc. Hold with a composite score of 44/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.

What is AeroVironment, Inc.'s MELANY score?

AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) has a MELANY composite score of 44/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.

How is the AVAV stock rating calculated?

MELANY scores AVAV from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.

Should I buy AeroVironment, Inc. stock?

That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Hold with a composite of 44/100 as of 2026-10-06. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.

What is the AVAV stock price forecast?

MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for AVAV. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 44/100 across eight factors for AeroVironment, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.

Is AVAV stock overvalued or undervalued?

MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 43/100 for AeroVironment, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives AVAV's read.

What price should I buy AVAV at?

MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for AVAV at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Add AVAV to a watchlist in the app to follow it; an alert the moment the rating changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.

What are the risks of buying AVAV stock?

The top risks MELANY currently flags for AeroVironment, Inc.: Negative free cash flow, company consuming cash, not generating it; Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up; No positive trailing earnings, valuation cannot be anchored to current P/E. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.

Is AeroVironment, Inc. a good long-term investment?

For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 33/100 for AeroVironment, Inc., and earnings track record, at 88/100. The 44/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.

Will AVAV stock go up?

Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 13/100 for AVAV right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.

How current is this AVAV rating?

The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-06. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores AVAV continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).

How this rating works

Market Eyes Live

Every rating graded in public, AVAV included

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