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ASML Holding NV (ASML) Stock Rating & Analysis

As of October 6, 2026, MELANY rates ASML Holding NV 67 out of 100 (Favorable). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 100, and its lowest is valuation at 30.

MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-06

ASML · composite score

67/100
Favorable
···
Live price
Quality93
Momentum75
Risk-adjusted45
Source basis SEC filings and live market dataDated snapshot

About ASML Holding NV

ASML is the leader in lithography systems for semiconductor manufacturing, with 90% market share. Lithography uses a light source to expose circuit patterns from a photomask onto a semiconductor wafer, letting chipmakers fit more transistors into the same area of silicon, and it has historically been a large share of the cost of making cutting-edge chips. ASML outsources manufacturing of most of its parts and acts as an assembler; its largest clients are TSMC, Samsung, Intel, SK Hynix, and Micron.

Rating as of 2026-10-06 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.

Why ASML scores 67/100

ASML's 8 factor scores run from 30 to 100, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 67. Here is how ASML breaks down.

Valuation30/100

Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.

  • Forward P/E 31.5x, earnings growth accelerating
  • PEG ratio 1.15 (< 1 = undervalued)
Business quality93/100

Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.

  • Gross margin 53%
Price momentum75/100

Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.

  • Price +6.2% above 50-day MA
  • 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
Earnings track record67/100

History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.

  • Earnings in 8 days (strong beat history)
Analyst sentiment71/100

What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.

Catalyst setup100/100

Near-term events that could move the stock.

  • Earnings in 8 days
Risk-adjusted profile45/100

Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.

Macro fit50/100

How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.

How ASML compares

As of October 7, 2026, ASML Holding NV is tied for 11th of 20 in AI Chip and Semiconductor Infrastructure Stocks, where the average score is 67.

Also ranked in Memory and Storage Stocks. All stock rating pages.

Key risks for ASML

  • Performance partly driven by AI infrastructure (semis), rotation away from this theme would hurt

Sector and theme context

ASML Holding NV sits in the AI infrastructure (semis) theme, which MELANY currently rates 95/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds ASML's momentum and catalyst factors above.

ASML trade plan (Pro)

MELANY has a full position plan for ASML Holding NV: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It is part of Market Eyes Pro, and the first 30 days are free.

Entry zoneLocked
Alert levelLocked
Position sizingLocked
Review triggersLocked

How MELANY rates ASML

MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. ASML Holding NV's 67/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.

Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.

Frequently asked questions about ASML

Is ASML Holding NV (ASML) a buy?

As of 2026-10-06, MELANY rated ASML Holding NV Favorable with a composite score of 67/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.

What is ASML Holding NV's MELANY score?

ASML Holding NV (ASML) has a MELANY composite score of 67/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.

How is the ASML stock rating calculated?

MELANY scores ASML from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.

Should I buy ASML Holding NV stock?

That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates ASML Holding NV (ASML) Favorable with a composite of 67/100 as of 2026-10-06. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.

What is the ASML stock price forecast?

MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for ASML. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 67/100 across eight factors for ASML Holding NV, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.

Is ASML stock overvalued or undervalued?

MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 30/100 for ASML Holding NV, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives ASML's read.

What price should I buy ASML at?

Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for ASML: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels are part of Market Eyes Pro, which starts with a 30-day free trial.

What are the risks of buying ASML stock?

The top risks MELANY currently flags for ASML Holding NV: Performance partly driven by AI infrastructure (semis), rotation away from this theme would hurt. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.

Is ASML Holding NV a good long-term investment?

For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 93/100 for ASML Holding NV, and earnings track record, at 67/100. The 67/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.

Will ASML stock go up?

Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 75/100 for ASML right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.

How current is this ASML rating?

The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-06. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores ASML continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).

How this rating works

Market Eyes Live

Every rating graded in public, ASML included

MELANY scores more than 11,000 U.S. stocks and ETFs, PRISM ranks conviction and APEX writes the plan with one entry zone. Free to start on iOS and the web.

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