Market Eyes LiveAlcoa Corporation (AA) Stock Rating & Analysis
MELANY's data-driven read on Alcoa Corporation.
Why AA scores 63/100
MELANY scores Alcoa Corporation 63/100 by weighing eight factors. Here is how AA breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- P/E 10.5x vs sector 14.0x median
- FCF yield 7.2%
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
- Avg EPS beat +29%
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
- Analyst targets 25% upside
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
Key risks for AA
- Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up
Sector and theme context
Alcoa Corporation sits in the Materials / commodity cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 15/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds AA's momentum and catalyst factors above.
Tracking AA
Alcoa Corporation rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Create a free account to add AA to your watchlist and get alerted the moment the rating changes.
How MELANY rates AA
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Alcoa Corporation's 63/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about AA
Is Alcoa Corporation (AA) a buy?
As of 2026-08-28, MELANY rated Alcoa Corporation Hold with a composite score of 63/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Alcoa Corporation's MELANY score?
Alcoa Corporation (AA) has a MELANY composite score of 63/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, and macro fit.
How is the AA stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores AA from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Alcoa Corporation stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Alcoa Corporation (AA) Hold with a composite of 63/100 as of 2026-08-28. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the AA stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for AA. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 63/100 across eight factors for Alcoa Corporation, and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is AA stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 67/100 for Alcoa Corporation, where a higher score means the price looks more attractive against earnings, growth, and peers. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives AA's read.
What price should I buy AA at?
MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for AA at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Watchlisting AA in the free app gets you alerted the moment that changes.
What are the risks of buying AA stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Alcoa Corporation: Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Alcoa Corporation a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 54/100 for Alcoa Corporation, and earnings track record, at 94/100. The 63/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will AA stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 38/100 for AA right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this AA rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-08-28. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores AA continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and that current rating is free in the app.
AA's live rating and alerts are free either way. The app is our flagship.