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Economic Calendar for Mortgage Rates
The releases most likely to move rates, ranked by impact. Updated 2026-08-21.
Why the calendar matters for locking
Rates move most on data. Inflation prints (CPI, PPI), the jobs report, and Fed decisions can shift mortgage rates more in a single morning than a quiet week does. If a high-impact release lands before your close, that event, not today's level, is often the real lock-or-float decision. The read below folds the calendar into the current environment.
Today's read
PCE Inflation (Personal Income & Outlays) in 51h is a coin-flip event. If your close is past it, wait; if within 7 days, lock now.
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Frequently asked questions
What economic data moves mortgage rates the most?
Inflation reports (CPI and PPI), the monthly jobs report, and Federal Reserve rate decisions are the highest-impact releases for mortgage rates.
Should I lock before a big data release?
If the release lands before your closing and rates are not clearly falling, locking before it removes the risk of an adverse surprise. If rates are trending down and you have time, some choose to float through it. It is a risk decision, not a guarantee.
When is the next rate-moving event?
The next flagged event is PCE Inflation (Personal Income & Outlays) on 2026-08-26, about 51 hours away.
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