Market Eyes LiveToll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Stock Rating & Analysis
MELANY's data-driven read on Toll Brothers, Inc. · Operative Builders.
Toll Brothers is the leading luxury homebuilder in the United States, with an average sale price well above its public competitors', operating in over 60 markets across 24 states and serving move-up, active-adult, and second-home buyers. It consistently ranks among the top 10 US builders by total home closings, derives most of its revenue from traditional homebuilding, also builds luxury for-sale and for-rent properties in urban centers, and is headquartered in Horsham, Pennsylvania.
Why TOL scores 64/100
MELANY scores Toll Brothers, Inc. 64/100 by weighing eight factors. Here is how TOL breaks down.
Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.
- P/E 11.5x vs sector 21.0x median
- PEG ratio 0.99 (< 1 = undervalued)
Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.
Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.
- 50-day MA above 200-day (golden cross zone)
History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.
- Beat EPS estimates 3 of last 4 quarters
What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.
Near-term events that could move the stock.
Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.
How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.
Key risks for TOL
- No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes
Sector and theme context
Toll Brothers, Inc. sits in the Consumer discretionary cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 22/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds TOL's momentum and catalyst factors above.
TOL trade plan (members only)
MELANY has a full position plan for Toll Brothers, Inc.: a smart entry zone, an alert level, position sizing, and quarterly review triggers. It unlocks free when you create an account.
How MELANY rates TOL
MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Toll Brothers, Inc.'s 64/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile. Position framework managed by score-based check-ins, not a fixed holding period.
Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.
Frequently asked questions about TOL
Is Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) a buy?
As of 2026-08-25, MELANY rated Toll Brothers, Inc. Favorable with a composite score of 64/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.
What is Toll Brothers, Inc.'s MELANY score?
Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) has a MELANY composite score of 64/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, and macro fit.
How is the TOL stock rating calculated?
MELANY scores TOL from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.
Should I buy Toll Brothers, Inc. stock?
That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Favorable with a composite of 64/100 as of 2026-08-25. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.
What is the TOL stock price forecast?
MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for TOL. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 64/100 across eight factors for Toll Brothers, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.
Is TOL stock overvalued or undervalued?
MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 77/100 for Toll Brothers, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive against earnings, growth, and peers. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives TOL's read.
What price should I buy TOL at?
Rather than chasing the current price, MELANY computes a smart entry zone for TOL: the price area where risk and reward actually favor a new position, plus an alert level and position sizing. The exact levels unlock free when you create a Market Eyes Live account.
What are the risks of buying TOL stock?
The top risks MELANY currently flags for Toll Brothers, Inc.: No specific company-level red flags detected, monitor macro regime changes. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.
Is Toll Brothers, Inc. a good long-term investment?
For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 52/100 for Toll Brothers, Inc., and earnings track record, at 64/100. The 64/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.
Will TOL stock go up?
Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 62/100 for TOL right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.
How current is this TOL rating?
The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-08-25. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores TOL continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and that current rating is free in the app.
TOL's entry zone, live alerts, and full trade plan are free either way. The app is our flagship.