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Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Stock Rating & Analysis

As of October 7, 2026, MELANY rates Home Depot, Inc. 53 out of 100 (Hold). Its highest factor score is catalyst setup at 81, and its lowest is price momentum at 26.

MELANY ratingRated 2026-10-07

HD · composite score

53/100
Hold
···
Live price
Quality47
Momentum26
Risk-adjusted65
Source basis SEC filings and live market dataDated snapshot

About Home Depot, Inc.

Home Depot is the world's largest home improvement specialty retailer, with 2,361 warehouse-format stores offering more than 30,000 products in store and 1 million online across the US, Canada, and Mexico. Its stores sell building materials, home improvement, lawn and garden, and decor products, and offer services such as installation and tool and equipment rentals. Its 2015 acquisition of Interline Brands took it into the MRO business, later expanded through the 2020 HD Supply deal.

Rating as of 2026-10-07 · this is a dated snapshot; the live rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days). The price above updates in real time.

How HD's rating has moved

  • +2Past two weeks, since Sep 23: score rose 2 points to 53.
  • 0Past four weeks, since Sep 9: score held at 53.

Weekly points: Sep 9: 53 · Sep 16: 52 · Sep 23: 51 · Oct 7: 53 (this page).

From MELANY's own dated rating record. A tier change is reported as a move between named tiers; the score carries the direction.

Why HD scores 53/100

HD's 8 factor scores run from 26 to 81, and 4 of them sit above its composite of 53. Here is how HD breaks down.

Valuation46/100

Whether the price looks cheap or expensive against earnings, growth, and peers.

  • P/E 20.1x vs sector 21.0x median
Business quality47/100

Margins, returns on capital, and balance-sheet strength.

  • ROE 104%
Price momentum26/100

Direction and relative strength of the recent share-price trend.

Earnings track record56/100

History of beating or missing estimates, and where estimates are heading.

Analyst sentiment77/100

What Wall Street price targets and revisions are signalling.

  • Analyst targets 32% upside
Catalyst setup81/100

Near-term events that could move the stock.

Risk-adjusted profile65/100

Upside weighed against volatility and drawdown risk.

Macro fit50/100

How the current rate and market regime suits this kind of company.

How HD compares

As of October 7, 2026, Home Depot, Inc. ranks 19th of 20 in Consumer Discretionary Stocks, where the average score is 59.

All stock rating pages.

Key risks for HD

  • High debt-to-equity ratio 3.8x, rate-sensitive balance sheet
  • Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up

Sector and theme context

Home Depot, Inc. sits in the Consumer discretionary cycle theme, which MELANY currently rates 11/100 for strength. Theme strength feeds HD's momentum and catalyst factors above.

Tracking HD

Home Depot, Inc. rates Hold right now, so MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry. Add HD to a watchlist in the app to follow its rating; an alert the moment it changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.

How MELANY rates HD

MELANY is a rules-based engine that scores every stock from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors, then re-scores as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive. Home Depot, Inc.'s 53/100 reflects mature factor weighting for its profile.

Ratings are algorithmic and change with the data. They are research and education, not personalized investment advice.

Frequently asked questions about HD

Is Home Depot, Inc. (HD) a buy?

As of 2026-10-07, MELANY rated Home Depot, Inc. Hold with a composite score of 53/100. That is a dated snapshot, not the live rating, and it is an algorithmic reading built from eight factors rather than personalized investment advice. Review the factor breakdown above and the disclaimer below before making any decision.

What is Home Depot, Inc.'s MELANY score?

Home Depot, Inc. (HD) has a MELANY composite score of 53/100, combining valuation, business quality, price momentum, earnings track record, analyst sentiment, catalyst setup, risk-adjusted profile, macro fit.

How is the HD stock rating calculated?

MELANY scores HD from 0 to 100 across eight weighted factors using live market and fundamental data, then refreshes the rating automatically as new data arrives.

Should I buy Home Depot, Inc. stock?

That decision is yours; Market Eyes Live does not give buy or sell advice. What the data says: MELANY rates Home Depot, Inc. (HD) Hold with a composite of 53/100 as of 2026-10-07. The factor breakdown above shows what is driving that, which is a better basis for a decision than any one-word verdict.

What is the HD stock price forecast?

MELANY does not publish price targets or forecasts for HD. Predicting a future price is exactly the kind of false precision the confidence framework avoids. Instead it scores today's setup, 53/100 across eight factors for Home Depot, Inc., and re-scores automatically as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive.

Is HD stock overvalued or undervalued?

MELANY's valuation factor currently reads 46/100 for Home Depot, Inc., where a higher score means the price looks more attractive on that measure. Scores in the 70s and above read as attractively priced, the mid range as roughly fair, and low scores as stretched. The factor breakdown above shows what drives HD's read.

What price should I buy HD at?

MELANY is not flagging a fresh entry for HD at its current Hold rating, so there is no entry zone to publish right now. Add HD to a watchlist in the app to follow it; an alert the moment the rating changes is part of Pro, free for 30 days.

What are the risks of buying HD stock?

The top risks MELANY currently flags for Home Depot, Inc.: High debt-to-equity ratio 3.8x, rate-sensitive balance sheet; Weak price momentum, trend not yet confirmed, may need more time to set up. The rating on this page already weighs these against the bullish factors; see the risk-adjusted profile score in the breakdown above.

Is Home Depot, Inc. a good long-term investment?

For long-term durability the two factors that matter most are business quality, which MELANY scores 47/100 for Home Depot, Inc., and earnings track record, at 56/100. The 53/100 composite blends those with six shorter-horizon factors. Durable quality at a fair price is the long-term case to test; this is research, not personalized investment advice.

Will HD stock go up?

Nobody can promise a stock's direction, and Market Eyes Live does not predict prices. The measurable part: MELANY's price momentum factor reads 26/100 for HD right now, and the catalyst setup factor tracks whether near-term events could move it. Both re-score automatically as the data changes.

How current is this HD rating?

The rating on this page is a snapshot of MELANY's read as of 2026-10-07. The price shown updates live, but the score is not recomputed on this page. MELANY re-scores HD continuously as new price, earnings, and fundamental data arrive, and the current rating is in the app (Pro, free for 30 days).

How this rating works

Market Eyes Live

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